Mexican avocado exports to reach a record $4 billion in 2025

Mexican avocado exports will reach a record high of $4 billion in 2025, according to El Economista, citing projections from USDA.

In 2024, shipments of avocados from Mexico reached an all-time high of $3.787 billion, a 20 percent increase over 2023.

In terms of volume, the USDA forecasts that Mexican avocado exports will total 1.34 million metric tons in 2025, a 5 percent year-over-year increase to meet growing international demand, primarily from the United States.

In 2024, estimated exports were 1.28 million metric tons, a 9 percent decrease compared to 2023, primarily due to increased logistics costs and harvest fluctuations. Exports to the U.S. reached 1.07 million metric tons in 2024, a 5 percent decrease from the previous year.

The U.S. market represents more than 80 percent of Mexico’s total avocado exports by volume, followed by Canada (7 percent) and Japan (3 percent).

While avocado exports are year-round, peak season is from December to February (accounting for more than 35 percent of exports).

The Super Bowl in early Feburary is the main driver of demand for Mexican avocado exports to the U.S. Mexico supplied about 88 percent of total U.S. avocado imports in 2024.

The USDA projects avocado production in Mexico to reach 2.75 million metric tons in 2025, a 3 percent increase compared to the 2.67 million metric tons estimated for 2024, thanks to favorable growing conditions, improved agricultural practices, and strong export demand.

Planted area is also expected to remain virtually unchanged in 2025 at 256,500 hectares, according to grower reports of limited new plantings, in line with increased enforcement of land-use regulations and a new deforestation-free certification program in the state of Michoacán.

Data from Mexico’s Agrifood and Fisheries Information Service (SIAP) estimates the planted area of ​​avocados in 2024 at 256,200 hectares, a 1 percent decrease compared to 2023.

The past five years have seen a significant increase in production, particularly in the Jalisco Valley Region, as producers diversify their crop mix to include avocados or completely eliminate corn, wheat, and pastureland in favor of avocado orchards.